Latest Posts

  • What’s Next?

    Jun 30, 2008 / 4:11pm / in Eastern Europe, Fundamental, General, Interest Rates, Western Europe, Forex News

    With this week’s ECB’s decision all but official, a more important question looms: what’s next? The ECB is a bank whose primary focus — witnessed in both its charter and its past actions — is price stability. Despite poor economic performance in recent months, the ECB essentially has to raise rates this week, as the Euro-Zone’s current inflation level is double the target of 2%. While President Trichet and his peers may pray that a single, small hike will be enough to curb rising inflation, the more likely scenario is that the policy move will not have a huge effect.

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  • Random Country Report: Part 2 - Egypt

    Jun 27, 2008 / 12:32pm / in Africa, Fundamental, General, Interest Rates, News Releases, Forex News

    The markets are closed, Wall-E is opening in theatres, and by now most people have at least a foot out the door for the weekend. After writing all week about the USD, the Fed, and about how I am a better forecaster of market movements than my colleague John, I have decided to do the second piece in the Random Country Report Series. Excluding Antarctica and its rather inactive central bank (please see below), the continent with the least amount of coverage in the world of foreign exchange is Africa.

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  • Game Time!

    Jun 24, 2008 / 4:14pm / in Fundamental, General, Interest Rates, News Releases, United States Dollar, Forex News

    As I have explained before, there are some days when there is little of note in the FOREX world, so I get the chance to research a random economy somewhere in the world. Today (and I’m sure tomorrow) is not such a day. Everyone’s favorite superpower, the United States of America, came out with important economic data today, and will have even more important data tomorrow. US Consumer Confidence was lower then expected, and the lowest it has been since 1992.

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  • Big Week Ahead!

    Jun 23, 2008 / 9:28am / in Fundamental, General, Interest Rates, United States Dollar, Western Europe, Forex News

    In some weeks, the news highlight in the FOREX world is an Italian report on car sales. Other weeks, the major headline is that Nigerian workers are striking against the oil companies. However, this week, there’s plenty to be excited about, especially the most important gathering since the meeting of the Five Families: the U.S. Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Meeting.

    Ladies and Gentlemen, start your engines.

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  • Random Country Report: Part 1 - India

    Jun 18, 2008 / 10:27am / in Asia, Fundamental, General, Interest Rates, Forex News

    Some days, I know exactly what I’m going to write about. On days that I don’t, I usually peruse through the news, trying to find something that piques my interest. Today’s top headlines in the currency sector centering on the US Dollar not doing anything as there’s little to trade on... thanks for the help world. So, I have decided that on days such as this, a day with little of note on the economic calendar, I would focus on a country (and its currency) that rarely gets much discussion in the world of FOREX. Today, that country is India.

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  • US Dollar - Predicting the Future (Part 2!)

    Jun 16, 2008 / 12:25pm / in Americas, Currency, Fundamental, Interest Rates, Oil, United States Dollar, Forex News

    Last week I mentioned that though the G8 conference would impact the US dollar in the short term, the ultimate fate of the USD will ultimately be determined more by Bernanke than by anyone else. The Group of Eight’s meeting has come and gone, offering little good news for the USD. In the FOREX market, that “little good news” led to bad news for the USD, as the greenback surrendered some of the territory it had gained last week. So with the conference in the rear-view mirror… let’s look ahead.

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  • Fundamental Analysis and Central Bank Resources

    Jun 13, 2008 / 10:32am / in Forex Trading, Fundamental, United States Dollar, Forex News

    Fundamental analysis can be daunting, but this is what drives the market. I don’t care how many doji’s or buy signals Deutche Bank saw on the eve of the Russian Debt default.

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  • US Dollar - Predicting the Future

    Jun 13, 2008 / 10:27am / in Canadian Dollar, Currency, Fundamental, News Releases, Forex News

    The surprising rally of the US Dollar this week has inevitably led to what seems like everyone and their niece predicting just how long it will last. My 10-year old niece doesn’t like the dollar, and though she’s a very bright girl, please note that she based her reasoning on the Canadian dollar looking a lot cooler than its American counterpart. Given that for several years the USD has done little but suffer, it’s of little surprise that few people are giving the greenback a chance.

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  • Leverage: Blessing or a Burden

    Jun 12, 2008 / 9:55am / in Currency, Forex Trading, Fundamental, Forex News

    Leverage allows any trader to control large amounts of capital; it is every trader’s best friend and worst enemy. We all realize that investing involves risk, and no one makes money without some degree of risk. That being said excess risk has another name: margin call. This isn’t the CME were your broker gives you a courteous call saying “pay up sucker,” no this is online currency trading. Or maybe you’re so confident in your trades that you never lose. Probably not if you’re like t

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  • Currency Wars: The Dollar Strikes Back?

    Jun 12, 2008 / 9:53am / in Currency, Forex Trading, Fundamental, Forex News

    Something monumental has happened: the US dollar has done well, and it didn’t require a divine intervention.

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