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ECB Outlook: It’s Time to Cut Interest Rates

In the days leading up to the European Central Bank’s rate decision on July 3rd, 2008, many political leaders around Europe publically pleaded for the ECB to leave interest rates unchanged. Among others, French President Sarkozy voiced the opinion that the recent rise in inflation was due primarily to the spike in commodity prices.¹ As [...]

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Psychology and Investing

Take your emotions out of the picture, that’s what they say. While some investors are able to treat securities in an indifferent manner, few are able to ignore the feelings of greed or fear that come with profits and losses. For people involved in financial markets, finding ways to trade without emotion is one of [...]

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Fundamental Analysis and Central Bank Resources

Fundamental analysis can be daunting, but this is what drives the market. I don’t care how many doji’s or buy signals Deutche Bank saw on the eve of the Russian Debt default. I guarantee they where glued to International news stations not there computer’s technical chart analyzers. That being said, where do traders locate news [...]

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Leverage: Blessing or a Burden

everage allows any trader to control large amounts of capital; it is every trader’s best friend and worst enemy. We all realize that investing involves risk, and no one makes money without some degree of risk. That being said excess risk has another name: margin call.

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Currency Wars: The Dollar Strikes Back?

Something monumental has happened: the US dollar has done well, and it didn’t require a divine intervention.

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Forex Market Update 6/11/08

The US Dollar ended its rise against the Euro, as the ECB had several officials speak out in predicting future rate hikes. It is unclear if the ECB is planning a single increase (likely in July), or a series of hikes, as the officials volunteered differing opinions on the subject. One continuing storyline is how [...]

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Can the Euro break 1.60?

Euro zone growth has exceeded the US contributing to the appreciation of the euro but after a closer look the EZ doesn’t look that healthy.

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The “Undervalued” Yuan Saga Continues

The People’s Bank of China may be in a position to use its $1.33 trillion currency reserves as a bargaining tool against U.S. lawmaker demands. Xia Bin, director of financial research at the State Council Development Center, believes China can use its holdings of U.S. government debt to its advantage. As the world’s second-largest holder [...]

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Dollar Takes Hits against Euro and Yen

After modest gains this week, the U.S. dollar fell against the yen and euro on news of poor U.S. jobs growth. A government report today showed 92,000 jobs added for July, falling well below expectations as 126,000 jobs were added in June. Economists at Bloomberg predicted 127,000 new jobs for the past month. In addition, [...]

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Euro Makes Small Comeback on U.S. Dollar

Despite last week’s small gains against the euro, the U.S. dollar fell against the European currency on speculation of further weak U.S. growth. It may seem like old news, but investors fear further losses on securities backed by subprime mortgages to weaken the U.S. economy. Today, Germany’s IKB Deutsche Industriebank AG reported losses directly linked [...]

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