It is not easy for many to admit that they made an error. It seems the President Trichet might finally be starting to embark on that difficult path. After raising rates in the Euro-Zone over the protests of many top figures within that continent, Trichet finally admitted what the rest of the world had realized [...]
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What’s Next?
With this week’s ECB’s decision all but official, a more important question looms: what’s next? The ECB is a bank whose primary focus — witnessed in both its charter and its past actions — is price stability. Despite poor economic performance in recent months, the ECB essentially has to raise rates this week, as the [...]
Random Country Report: Part 2 – Egypt
The markets are closed, Wall-E is opening in theatres, and by now most people have at least a foot out the door for the weekend. After writing all week about the USD, the Fed, and about how I am a better forecaster of market movements than my colleague John, I have decided to do the [...]
Game Time!
As I have explained before, there are some days when there is little of note in the FOREX world, so I get the chance to research a random economy somewhere in the world. Today (and I’m sure tomorrow) is not such a day. Everyone’s favorite superpower, the United States of America, came out with important [...]
Random Country Report: India Revisited
My assignment for the day: write 200 times “Next time I will not get too excited when I write about India’s short term economic situation.” For those who have been following India in the past few days, the developments seem anything but the rosy picture I painted last time around. Sure, in the long run, [...]
Big Week Ahead!
In some weeks, the news highlight in the FOREX world is an Italian report on car sales. Other weeks, the major headline is that Nigerian workers are striking against the oil companies. However, this week, there’s plenty to be excited about, especially the most important gathering since the meeting of the Five Families: the U.S. [...]
Random Country Report: Part 1 – India
Some days, I know exactly what I’m going to write about. On days that I don’t, I usually peruse through the news, trying to find something that piques my interest. Today’s top headlines in the currency sector centering on the US Dollar not doing anything as there’s little to trade on… thanks for the help [...]
US Dollar – Predicting the Future (Part 2!)
Last week I mentioned that though the G8 conference would impact the US dollar in the short term, the ultimate fate of the USD will ultimately be determined more by Bernanke than by anyone else. The Group of Eight’s meeting has come and gone, offering little good news for the USD. In the FOREX market, [...]
Financial Conditions Look to Be Better
Calm seems to be returning to international financial markets. US economic data released today surprised to the upside. The US dollar is even losing its safe-haven bid with fear not as dominant in the market as in days past. We could even see conditions set up for a normalization of credit and liquidity in the [...]
Carry Trade Coming Back?
Financial markets look to be rebounding after their huge drops in the last couple of weeks. Markets have seen an uptick in value and, and recent news only seems to support that trend. The primary effects of this movement on the foreign exchange market have been twofold: providing the Fed with justification to slow down [...]
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