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Is the Fed Thinking About Inflation or the USD?

July 20th, 2007 by Stephen Roman

John Crudele’s theory is that Bernanke is focused on the strength of the USD and using inflation as cover to take rate cuts off the table. Until Americans go on vacation they are typically unaware of shifts in currency strengths. It would take dramatic decline in the strength of the USD for most Americans to pay attention – a situation Bernanke wants to avoid. Like a man falling out of a high-rise window and giving a status update at every floor, it’s “so far, so good”:

Despite too many problems to go over again here, investors are having their annual summer romance with stocks and the Dow Jones industrials could easily hit the 15,000-level by September.

But inflation is a funny thing. Like the ugly baby, you can deny its existence even as it is goo-gooing you in the face. But eventually the truth will come out.

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